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AN "OPENING GAP" TACTIC
In
cases where the markets are set to open up strongly, there will often
be large gaps in the opening prices of certain stocks from the prior
day's closing prices. This can provide profitable opportunities for day
traders. The following sets out an easy to implement strategy or tactic
that may be used to capitalize on these opportunities.
Suppose
that, prior to the opening bell, indications are that the market will
open up quite strongly. A large amount of buy orders for many stocks
that have been placed prior to the market open will cause market makers
to increase the price of such stocks at the commencement of trading. In
many cases, the amount which the market maker opens or "gaps" up a
particular stock will be higher than what is justified. This creates
what is often referred to as a "Bull Trap".
In
other words, the stock is sometimes opened up excessively high to
entice investors to buy simply because the stock shows strength at the
open.The setting up of a Bull Trap is the main reason why many stocks
that gap up at the open tend to retreat back in price after the first
hour or so of trading. Once the pre-market open buy orders have all
been filled, the demand for these stocks often subsides.
There
are exceptions, however, and these are what create some potentially
profitable day trading opportunities. In particular, chances are good
that if a stock thathas opened up is able to reach a new daily high
after the first hour of trading, the strength shown at the open was
real and not artificial because there has been additional and continued
buying after the pre-market orders have been filled. This provides day
traders the opportunity to use the following tactic or strategy:
1. Choose a Stock Choose a stock that has opened by at least Re. 1.00 over the prior day's closing price. 2. Allow Trading for One Hour Permit the stock to trade for the first hour after the market opens and monitor it closely. 3. Set the Alert After the first hour, set an alert 1/4 point above the high of the day If
the stock in fact moves to a new daily high, the alert will be
triggered and you should then immediately buy and, at the same time,
place a stop loss sell order below days low.
Summary
This
tactic or strategy provides day traders with a fair degree of profit
potential. There is also limited down side risk because of the
protective stop loss sell order.
TOP
PERSONALITY TRAITS OF SUCCESSFUL TRADERS
Personality
What
are the key personality traits that successful day traders tend to have
in common? Here are some of the most important ones:
Confidence
This
is perhaps the most important personality trait of good day traders.
You won't succeed at day trading unless you have a high measure of
confidence in yourself. Lack of self-confidence will result in doubt,
indecision and second-guessing which, in turn, will lead to missed
trading opportunities and frequent losses. You must believe in yourself
when day trading. If not, you will be better off pursuing some other
endeavor.
Discipline
In
order to day trade successfully, you must develop a trading plan and
consistently stick to it. You must avoid a "shooting from the hip" or a
"seat of the pants approach" to day trading. Get out of the market when
you have reached your objective and do not let emotions like fear and
greed influence your trading decisions.
Decisiveness
Good
day traders do not hesitate to "pull the trigger" when entering and
exiting trades. Traders who are in the habit of being tentative or
indecisive will never become successful.
Passion
Most
successful day traders have a true love or passion about their trading
activities. If you do not enjoy reading charts, dealing with numbers,
reading market news, interpreting quote screens, learning new trading
strategies and working independently in a fast-paced environment, then
day trading is probably not your cup of tea.
Ability to Accept Failure
Good
day traders know that many of their trades will fail to meet the
original objective. They do not, however seek to blame someone else for
their loss, and they don't dwell on it. They attempt to learn from
their mistakes and move on to the next trade.
Ability to Accept Risk
Another
personality trait of good traders is that they are comfortable with
risk and are prepared to lose money from time to time. If you are
afraid that you will, on occasion, lose money, then day trading is not
for you.
Patience
Good
traders do not rush into trades. They take the time to select good
trading opportunities and do not place orders simply for the sake of
holding a position in the markets at all times. On some market days,
where few good trading opportunities exist, they are content to simply
stand aside and wait.
Concentration
In
day trading, a great deal of real-time information has to be absorbed,
analyzed and acted upon in intense bursts throughout the trading day.
This requires a great deal of concentration and stamina on the part of
the trader, and the ability to avoid distractions. Day trading can be
very hard work and a lack of concentration can doom a trader to failure.
TOP
FUNDAMENTAL V/S TECHNICAL ANALYSIS There
are two general schools of stock analysis: fundamental and technical.
This feature describes the two schools and the key differences between
them.
Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental
stock analysis requires, among other things, a close examination of the
financial statements for the company to determine its current financial
strength, future growth and profitability prospects, and current
management skills, in order to estimate whether the stock's price is
undervalued or overvalued. A good deal of reliance is placed on annual
and quarterly earnings reports, the economic, political and competitive
environment facing the company, as well as any current news items or
rumours relating to the company's operations. Simply put, fundamental
analysis concerns itself with the "basics" of the business in assessing
the worth of a stock. Numerous ratios, derived from balance sheet and
income statement data, are used in fundamental analysis including such
widely used ratios as, Working Capital Ratio, Debt-equity Ratio, Return
on Equity Ratio, Earnings per Share, etc.
Fundamental
analysis may be the preferred method to use for mid to longer term
investors. However, it is not suitable for use by day traders because
of the amount of research required, and the fact that trades are
entered into and exited within a very short time frame.
Technical Analysis
Technical
analysis does not concern itself with a company's basics or
fundamentals. Rather, technical analysis involves the study of a
stock's trading patterns through the use of charts, trend lines,
support and resistance levels, and many other mathematical analysis
tools, in order to predict future movements in a stock's price, and to
help identify trading opportunities.
The
basic foundations or premises of technical analysis are that a stock's
current price discounts all information available in the market, that
price movements are not random, and that patterns in price movements,
in very many cases, tend to repeat themselves or trend in some
direction.
Bob
Prechter, a famous practitioner of technical analysis once commented
that, "... the main problem with fundamental analysis is that its
indicators are removed from the market itself. The analyst assumes
causality between external events and market movements, a concept which
is almost certainly false. But, just as important, and less recognized,
is that fundamental analysis almost always requires a forecast of the
fundamental data itself before conclusions about the market are drawn.
The analyst is then forced to take a second step in coming to a
conclusion about how those forecasted events will affect the markets!
Technicians only have one step to take, which gives them an edge right
off the bat. Their main advantage is that they don't have to forecast
their indicators."
A
very large number of technical indicators have been developed over the
years, including the widely used overbought/oversold indicators such as
the Relative Strength Index, and the trend following indicators such as
Moving Averages.
While
technical analysis can be a great help in trading the market, no
technical indicator is infallible. Further, technical analysis is only
as good as its interpreter. Finally, a significant of time must be
spent in learning the principles of technical analysis, and in how to
properly interpret the various charts and other technical indicators.
TOP
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